Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics by Francis Fukuyama

"Fukuyama discussed the challenges of uncertainty, how unanticipated scenarios have the potential to escalate into systemic crises, and why it is difficult to act even when catastrophes are anticipated. Blindside contributors Gregg Easterbrook, Scott Barrett and Gal Luft focused on forecasting, emerging infectious diseases and energy security, respectively. Adam Garfinkle, editor of The American Interest, moderated the discussion." - Brookings